Paid Promotion Pump
The framework reads paid promotion through diagnostic signals that surface in public records and trading patterns: promotional content from financial influencers without disclosed compensation arrangements, abnormal volume in low-float securities concurrent with promotional activity, and price action that diverges from any operational news. The pattern fires at strong magnitude when SEC disclosure documentation for paid promotional arrangements has been filed or subsequently uncovered, and weaker magnitude when the diagnostic signals are present without confirmed disclosure.
Common questions about this pattern
The framework reads paid promotion through diagnostic signals that surface in public records and trading patterns: promotional content from financial influencers without disclosed compensation arrangements, abnormal volume in low-float securities concurrent with promotional activity, and price action that diverges from any operational news. The pattern fires at strong magnitude when SEC disclosure documentation for paid promotional arrangements has been filed or subsequently uncovered, and weaker magnitude when the diagnostic signals are present without confirmed disclosure. DeFi Technologies 2024-2025 is the framework's recent canonical case with documented SEC enforcement action.
The framework's pattern definition is narrower than the general usage. A paid promotion pump fires when documented compensation arrangements between a company and content distributors produced promotional content without adequate disclosure of the arrangement, and the resulting trading activity created an exit window for insiders or early investors. The diagnostic conditions surface in SEC filings, social media disclosure compliance records, and trading pattern analysis. The framework's read is mechanical: when documented disclosure failures accompany abnormal trading activity, the pattern is firing regardless of the underlying business merit. The pattern often fires on companies with legitimate operations whose promotion outpaces operational reality.
The framework reads influencer promotion as a diagnostic signal requiring elevated scrutiny, not as a disqualifying condition. Influencer promotion is structurally common across the small-cap and mid-cap universe; the diagnostic distinguishes promotion within disclosure compliance from promotion that fails compliance. Promotion within compliance is normal marketing activity. Promotion that fails compliance — content presented as independent analysis when paid arrangements existed — fires the pattern. Retail investors face elevated risk specifically from the second category because the framework's documented case library shows the pattern resolution typically produces 60% to 90% drawdowns once disclosure failures become public.
DeFi Technologies 2024-2025 is the framework's textbook paid promotion pump case with documented SEC enforcement action. The pattern fired through compensation arrangements between the company and content distributors that produced promotional content without adequate disclosure of the arrangement. The trading activity during the promotional window created exit conditions for early investors. The SEC enforcement record subsequently established the disclosure failures. The case is studied in the Time Machine scenario library as a canonical retail protection pattern, with the diagnostic signals surfacing in public records before the SEC enforcement landed.
SEC Rule 17(b) requires disclosure of compensation for stock promotion in published content. The framework's diagnostic conditions include searching for filed disclosures, examining content distributor compensation records on platforms that publish such records, and pattern-matching promotional content language against templates that paid-promotion services typically distribute. Investors can verify disclosure compliance for any specific promotional content by examining the SEC's EDGAR filings database for the issuer and the content distributor. The framework's retail protection category provides additional structural patterns to read alongside individual disclosure verification.
See the firing list. Run the historical scenarios. Test your conviction.
Free registration unlocks the live firing list across 100 large-cap tickers, the Time Machine scenario library (blinded replays of real cases), the Gauntlet (a 17-scenario bias classifier), and the Graveyard archive of resolved patterns. No credit card.